Atlanta Braves Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Atlanta Braves hold a record of 121-29-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $82 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-6-0 | 0.0% | +30.6% |
| 2015 | 11-3-0 | 0.0% | +50.0% |
| 2016 | 11-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 15-2-0 | 0.0% | +68.5% |
| 2018 | 13-6-0 | 0.0% | +30.6% |
| 2019 | 11-0-1 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2021 | 13-2-0 | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2022 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2024 | 10-3-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of competitive resilience and strategic roster construction. When facing moderate point spreads in this range, Atlanta typically finds itself matched against quality opponents where their veteran leadership and playoff-tested core can exploit the market's slight undervaluation. The franchise's emphasis on developing clutch performers and maintaining depth across their lineup creates situations where they're better equipped to handle adversity than oddsmakers anticipate. Atlanta's front office has consistently built teams that thrive when expectations are tempered. Their analytical approach to in-game management becomes particularly effective when they're not heavily favored, as opposing teams may approach these matchups with less intensity than they would against clear favorites. The Braves' pitching staff historically performs better when facing moderate pressure rather than overwhelming expectations, allowing their offensive weapons to capitalize on opponents who might be looking ahead. Bettors should target Atlanta as medium underdogs specifically in divisional matchups and against teams with recent hot streaks, where public perception may have inflated the opposition's perceived strength. This trend matters most during the middle months of the season when divisional races tighten and every game carries heightened significance without the extreme pressure of playoff elimination scenarios.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Atlanta Braves have an outstanding 121-29-1 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 80.7% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Braves as medium underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 54.0% ROI. Their 121-29-1 ATS record demonstrates consistent value when getting 3.5 to 7 points.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Braves' 80.7% win rate and 54.0% ROI as medium underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.