Atlanta Braves Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Atlanta Braves hold a record of 191-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +84.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $167 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 21-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 20-1-0 | 0.0% | +81.8% |
| 2016 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 24-2-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2018 | 15-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 17-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2021 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 20-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 14-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 22-2-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and competitive pride that refuses to fold even in seemingly hopeless situations. Atlanta's front office has consistently built rosters with veteran leadership and young talent that thrives under pressure, creating a clubhouse mentality where being written off only fuels their determination. The team's pitching development system produces arms that can keep games close regardless of matchup disadvantages, while their patient offensive approach allows them to capitalize on opponents who may ease up with big leads. When Atlanta finds itself in these heavily unfavorable spots, it's typically against elite competition or in difficult road situations where the public heavily backs their opponent. This creates inflated lines that don't accurately reflect the Braves' ability to compete, especially given their strong fundamentals and depth. The psychological edge of having nothing to lose transforms their approach, leading to more aggressive base-running, unconventional strategic decisions, and maximum effort from role players seeking to prove themselves. Bettors should target this trend most aggressively during divisional games and playoff races when Atlanta's pride and familiarity with opponents creates the perfect storm for competitive performances despite unfavorable odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Atlanta Braves have an ATS record of 191-7-0 when listed as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This represents a 96.5% ATS win rate over 198 games.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Braves as large underdogs has been highly profitable with an 84.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This exceptional return indicates the betting market consistently undervalued the Braves in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS and rarely achieve positive long-term ROI. The Braves' 96.5% ATS rate as large underdogs represents one of the most dominant betting trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.