Atlanta Braves Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Atlanta Braves hold a record of 190-40-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +57.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $133 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 17-6-0 | 0.0% | +41.1% |
| 2015 | 21-1-0 | 0.0% | +82.2% |
| 2016 | 19-1-0 | 0.0% | +81.4% |
| 2017 | 14-5-0 | 0.0% | +40.7% |
| 2018 | 20-5-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 16-3-0 | 0.0% | +60.8% |
| 2020 | 17-7-0 | 0.0% | +35.2% |
| 2021 | 15-4-0 | 0.0% | +50.7% |
| 2022 | 19-2-0 | 0.0% | +72.7% |
| 2023 | 13-2-0 | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2024 | 19-4-0 | 0.0% | +57.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a potent combination of organizational culture and situational psychology. Atlanta has historically thrived when expectations are lowered, allowing their players to compete without the pressure that comes with being favored. The franchise's deep-rooted emphasis on developing talent through their farm system means they often field competitive rosters that oddsmakers undervalue, particularly when facing marquee opponents at Truist Park. The psychological edge becomes even sharper at home, where Atlanta's passionate fanbase creates an atmosphere that elevates undervalued teams. The Braves have consistently demonstrated an ability to maximize their roster's potential when playing with house money, often catching visiting favorites off-guard with aggressive early-game strategies and opportunistic baseball. Their recent organizational stability under management has fostered a culture where players embrace the underdog mentality rather than shrink from it. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Atlanta faces quality opponents at home while getting plus-money odds – these scenarios represent the sweet spot where talent meets motivation. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and interleague series where the Braves can leverage their home-field familiarity against unfamiliar opponents or heated rivals.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as home underdog?
The Atlanta Braves have an exceptional 190-40-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a remarkable 82.6% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Braves as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 57.7% ROI. This means a $100 bet on each game would have generated $57.70 in profit on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly above league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Braves' 82.6% ATS rate as home underdogs represents one of the strongest situational betting trends in MLB.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.