The Atlanta Braves show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 237-237-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record237-237-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size474 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-21.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201421-22-00.0%-6.8%
201525-23-00.0%-0.6%
201622-22-00.0%-4.5%
201718-20-00.0%-9.6%
201826-27-00.0%-6.3%
201918-21-00.0%-11.9%
202022-24-00.0%-8.7%
202116-15-00.0%-1.5%
202228-28-00.0%-4.5%
202318-17-00.0%-1.8%
202423-18-00.0%+7.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Braves' perfectly neutral home ATS performance reflects the market's sophisticated understanding of their Truist Park advantages balanced against consistent overvaluation by oddsmakers. Atlanta's home environment creates specific tactical benefits - their pitching staff historically performs better in the controlled conditions of their ballpark, while their lineup tends to see improved plate discipline with familiar sight lines and crowd energy. However, these advantages are often baked into the betting lines, creating situations where the Braves become overvalued simply due to their strong home reputation. The psychological factor plays a significant role in this trend. Atlanta's passionate fanbase and the team's recent success create public betting sentiment that inflates home lines beyond their true value. The Braves often find themselves laying larger spreads or totals that don't accurately reflect their actual edge, particularly in nationally televised games or high-profile matchups where casual money floods the market. For bettors, the key insight is to focus on spot-specific situations rather than blindly backing or fading Atlanta at home. Look for value when the Braves are catching plus-money as home underdogs or when they're facing elite road teams that travel well. This trend matters most during playoff races and nationally televised weekend series when public perception peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as home games?

The Atlanta Braves have gone 237-237-0 against the spread in home games from 2014-2024, resulting in exactly a 50.0% ATS win rate. This represents a perfectly even split over 474 home games during this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Atlanta Braves in home games has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the even ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to the standard -110 juice on most bets.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Braves' 50.0% home ATS win rate is right at the theoretical break-even point, which is typical for most teams over long periods. However, their -4.5% ROI reflects the standard cost of the betting juice that makes breaking even on wins still unprofitable.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.