Atlanta Braves After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Atlanta Braves are just 205-221-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 24-20-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2015 | 19-23-0 | 0.0% | -13.6% |
| 2016 | 13-20-0 | 0.0% | -24.8% |
| 2017 | 21-13-0 | 0.0% | +17.9% |
| 2018 | 18-19-0 | 0.0% | -7.1% |
| 2019 | 19-17-1 | 0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2020 | 20-28-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2021 | 13-16-0 | 0.0% | -14.4% |
| 2022 | 20-23-0 | 0.0% | -11.2% |
| 2023 | 15-20-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2024 | 23-22-0 | 0.0% | -2.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' struggles bouncing back after losses stem from a combination of organizational culture and roster construction patterns that have persisted across different eras. Atlanta has historically built teams around pitching depth and defensive fundamentals rather than explosive offensive firepower, making them particularly vulnerable when their starting rotation gets knocked around. When a Braves starter gets roughed up, it often signals deeper issues with command or opposing hitters finding timing, problems that don't magically resolve overnight. The psychological component runs deeper than individual games. Atlanta's front office philosophy has consistently prioritized measured, analytical approaches over emotional responses, which can translate to players maintaining the same game plan even when adjustments might be needed. This methodical approach serves them well over 162 games but creates predictable patterns that sharp bettors can exploit in specific situations. The most telling factor is how Atlanta's bullpen usage changes after tough losses. Manager decisions tend to become more conservative, often burning through middle relievers earlier than optimal, which creates cascading effects for subsequent games. This defensive mindset frequently leads to tighter games that fall short of inflated totals. This trend carries the most weight when Atlanta faces divisional opponents after dropping the series opener, particularly in home games where fan expectations amplify the pressure to respond immediately.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as after a loss?
The Atlanta Braves have a 205-221-1 ATS record after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.1% ATS win rate over 427 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Braves after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -8.1% ROI over the past 11 seasons. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Braves' 48.1% ATS win rate after losses is slightly below the typical 50% baseline expected in sports betting. Their -8.1% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when trying to bounce back from defeats.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.