Arizona Diamondbacks vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 123-153-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 15-14-0 | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2015 | 14-17-0 | 0.0% | -13.8% |
| 2016 | 8-11-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2017 | 17-12-1 | 0.0% | +11.9% |
| 2018 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2019 | 3-18-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2020 | 14-24-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2021 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2022 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2023 | 13-15-0 | 0.0% | -11.4% |
| 2024 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Diamondbacks' struggles against divisional opponents stem from their position as the NL West's perennial underdog, creating a perfect storm of competitive disadvantages. Arizona consistently faces superior pitching depth from the Dodgers and Padres, while their own rotation often lacks the ace-level talent needed to match up in crucial series. The psychological weight of competing against higher-payroll rivals becomes particularly evident in late-season matchups, where the pressure to stay relevant amplifies existing weaknesses. Arizona's offensive approach, built around power hitting in a pitcher-friendly home ballpark, often gets neutralized by division rivals who've studied their tendencies extensively. The familiarity factor works against them more than for them, as teams like Los Angeles and San Diego exploit the Diamondbacks' tendency to struggle with elite breaking balls and situational hitting. Their bullpen volatility becomes magnified in tight divisional games where every run matters. The franchise's inconsistent organizational philosophy has created roster construction issues that become most apparent against teams they face 19 times annually. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing Arizona in divisional road series during the season's final two months, when their competitive disadvantages compound with playoff pressure and roster fatigue.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 123-153-1 against the spread (ATS) record when playing division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.6% ATS win rate over 277 total games.
Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -14.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the betting line in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Diamondbacks' 44.6% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -14.9% ROI significantly underperforms compared to break-even betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.