The public often underestimates the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Arizona Diamondbacks hold a record of 155-11-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +78.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $130 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record155-11-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size166 games
ROI+78.3%
Units Won+129.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-3-00.0%+55.1%
201517-0-00.0%+90.9%
201614-0-00.0%+90.9%
20179-1-00.0%+71.8%
201813-1-00.0%+77.3%
201914-1-00.0%+78.2%
202020-1-00.0%+81.8%
202113-1-00.0%+77.3%
202213-0-00.0%+90.9%
202317-1-00.0%+80.3%
202412-2-00.0%+63.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, opportunistic club that thrives when expectations are lowest. Arizona has historically built rosters around veteran leadership and young, hungry players who respond well to being counted out. When facing elite competition as significant underdogs, this creates a perfect storm where the team's natural resilience combines with reduced pressure to produce unexpectedly competitive performances. Arizona's pitching development system has consistently produced arms capable of keeping games close against superior lineups, while their hitters tend to capitalize on the aggressive approaches that opposing teams often employ when heavily favored. The desert environment and late-season scheduling also play roles, as visiting teams frequently struggle with the conditions while Arizona feeds off home crowd energy when playing spoiler. The psychological aspect cannot be understated - this franchise has a culture of embracing the underdog mentality, dating back to their 2001 World Series run. Players perform with house money confidence when the betting public has written them off completely. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and against playoff-contending teams in the final two months of the season, when motivation disparities are most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 155-11-0 when they are large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 93.4% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as large underdogs (+7.5+) has been highly profitable with a 78.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 155-11 ATS record in these spots makes them one of the most reliable large underdog plays in baseball.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. The Diamondbacks' 93.4% ATS win rate as big underdogs is exceptionally rare and well above typical MLB underdog performance.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.