The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 62-73-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.3%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record62-73-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size135 games
ROI-12.3%
Units Won-16.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-4-00.0%+32.2%
20156-9-00.0%-23.6%
20166-6-00.0%-4.5%
20178-6-00.0%+9.1%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20192-10-00.0%-68.2%
20206-13-00.0%-39.7%
20217-5-00.0%+11.4%
20225-9-00.0%-31.8%
20235-5-00.0%-4.5%
20243-4-00.0%-18.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' struggles against division rivals on the road stem from a combination of psychological pressure and roster construction issues that have plagued the franchise for years. Arizona has historically built teams around their hitter-friendly home ballpark, developing power hitters who thrive in the desert heat but struggle to adjust to the varied conditions found in NL West road venues. When facing familiar division opponents who have extensive scouting reports and understand their tendencies, these weaknesses become magnified. The psychological element cannot be understated. Division games carry extra weight, and Arizona players often press when facing teams they see 19 times per season. The Diamondbacks' young core has shown a pattern of overthinking at-bats and making defensive miscues when the stakes feel higher. Their pitching staff, frequently rebuilt through trades and budget constraints, lacks the veteran presence needed to maintain composure in hostile division road environments. The most actionable insight for bettors is to target the Diamondbacks as road underdogs early in series against division opponents, when their pressing tendencies are most pronounced. This trend matters most during the final month of the season when division standings tighten and every game carries playoff implications.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as away vs division rival?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 62-73-0 ATS record when playing as away favorites against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.9% ATS win rate over 135 total games.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as away vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as away favorites vs division rivals has not been profitable. The -12.3% ROI indicates significant losses, with the team failing to cover the spread in over half of these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the typical 50% ATS baseline expected in sports betting. The 45.9% ATS win rate and negative ROI suggest the Diamondbacks have consistently been overvalued by oddsmakers in these divisional road matchups.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.